Zusammenfassung der Ressource
SAB11#55_ESTIMATE_ACTIVITIES DURATIONS
- ESTIMATE ACTIVITY DURATIONS IS THE PROCESS OF ESTIMATING THE NUMBER OF WORK PERIODS NEEDED TO COMPLETE INDIVIDUAL
ACTIVITIES WITH ESTIMATED RESOURCES
- ROLE OF THE PROJECT MANAGER IN ESTIMATING IS TO:
- 1. PROVIDE THE TEAM WITH ENOUGH
INFORMATION TO PROPERLY ESTIMATE
EACH ACTIVITY
- 2. LET THOSE DOING THE ESTIMATING KNOW HOW
REFINED THEIR ESTIMATES MUST BE
- 3. COMPLETE A
SANITY CHECK OF
THE ESTIMATES
- 4. PREVENT PADDING.PADDING IS EXTRA
TIME OR COST ADDED TO AN ESTIMATE
BECAUSE THE ESTIMATOR DOES NOT
HAVE ENOUGH INFORMATION
- 5. FORMULATE A RESERVE
- 6. MAKE ASSURE ASSUMPTIONS MADE
DURING ETIMATING ARE RECORDED FOR
LATER REVIEW
- 1. SHEDULE MANAGEMENT PLAN
- 2. ACTIVITY LIST
- 3. ACTIVITY ATRIBUTESS
- 4.ACTIVITY RESOURCES REQUIREMENTS
- 5. RESOURCES CALENDARS
- 6. PROJECT SCOPE STAMENTS
- 7. RISK REGISTER
- 8.RESOURCES BREAKDOWN
- 9. ENTERRPRISE ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS
- 10. ORGANIZATIONAL PROCESS ASSETS
- 1. EXPERT JUDGMENTS. GUIDED BY HISTORICAL
INFORMATION FROM SIMILAR PROJECTS
- 2. ANALOGOUS ESTIMATING. TO ESTIMATE COST OF AN ACTIVITY OF A PROJECT OF
HISTORICAL DATA. USED WHEN THERE IS LIMITED INFORMATION. GENERALLY NOT AS
ACCURATE AS OTHER ESTIMATING TECHIQUES
- 4. THREE POINT ESTIMATING. TRIANGULAR
DISTRIBUTION AVERAGE (P+O+M)/3
P=PESSIMISTIC, O=OPTIMISTIC,M=MAS
PROBABLE. TRIANGULAR DISTRIBUTION BETA
(P+4M+O)/6 BETA ACTIVITY STANDARD DEVIATION =P-O/6
- 3.PARAMETRIC ESTIMATING. HISTORICAL RECORDS FROM
PREVIOUS PROJECTS. USES AN STATISTICAL RELATIONSHIP
BETWEEN HISTORICAL DATA AND OTHER VARIABLES
- 5. GROUP DECISION-MAKING TECNIQUES. USES
BRAINSTORMING, AND DELPHI.
- 6. RESERVE ANALYSIS . TIMES RESERVES IN THE
GLOBAL SCHEDULE F THE PROJECT.
- 1. ACTIVITY DURATION ESTIMATES
- 2. PROJECT DOCUMENTS UPDATES