Chapter 3: Assessment and Risk Prediction

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Chapter 3
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dynamic risk factors those characteristics that can change and are more or less influenced or controlled by the offender, such as employment, motivation, drug use, and family relations
false negative data result implying that the offender is predicted to not reoffend by the prediction turns out to be false
false positive when an offender is predicted to be likely to commit a crime but later, despite this prediction, the offender is released to community supervision and is found to never reoffend
Level of Service Inventory - Revised (LSI-R) a well-regarded, quasi-objective clinical inventory that is used to determine offender likelihood of recidivism and suitability for community supervision
Megargee Offender Classification System System of classification that is known to provide solid empirical support for classification and placement decisions. This system is especially effective in assisting criminal justice practitioners in dealing with an offender population that includes mentally ill or disordered individuals within its ranks
MMPI - 2 Stands for the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory -2, an objective personality adjustment inventory test that can be given to large numbers of offenders at the same time or individually as desired
MMPI-2 Criminal Justice and Correctional Report Designed to identify those offenders who may suffer from thought disorders, serious depression, and substance abuse problems; identifies those who may need mental health treatment as well as those who are most likely to be hostile, predatory, bullied, or victimized while incarcerated. This report also includes predictor items related to self-injury and suicide
needs-principled assessment type of assessment that deals with the subjective and objective needs of the offender to maximize his or her potential for social reintegration and to reduce the likelihood of future recidivism
presentence investigation report file that will typically include demographic, vocational, educational, and person information on the offender, as well as records on his or her prior offending patterns, and the probation department's recommendation as to the appropriate type of sentencing and supervision
prognosis refers to the likelihood that an offender will successfully reform and simultaneously refrain from further criminal activity. There is both a treatment component and a public safety component contained within an offender's prognosis
risk-principled assesment for this type of assessment, the main concert revolves around the protection of society. The risk-principled assessment system will ensure that hard-core offenders are not in the same treatment regimen as less serious offenders
static risk factors characteristics that are inherent to the offender and are usually permanent in nature
subjective assessment process the use of interviewing and observation methods to determine the security and treatment needs of the offender. Professionals use their sense of judgement and experience to determine the offender's possible dangerousness and treatment needs
subjective structured interview a process whereby an interviewer will ask a respondent a set of prearranged and open-ended questions so that the interview seems informal in nature, yet because of the prearranged questions, a structure evolves through-out the conversation that ensures that certain bits of desired data are gathered
true negative implies that an offender is predicted to not reoffend, and that prediction turns out to be true
true positive implies that the offender is predicted to reoffend and that this prediction later turns out to be true
Wisconsin Risk Assessment System One of the best known risk assessment systems, it examines 10 specific factors. This form of structured assessment has become the prototype for many probation and parole systems in the US
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