Created by cecilia valente
about 4 years ago
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Bubbles and Crashes
* Investors allocate their resources to different asset classes according to their...
* Investors' main object is to grow their wealth AND beat inflation, usually over the medium-long term (10+ years).
* When the prices of stocks or other assets grow quickly and for no objective reason, it is the beginning of irrational price growth known as a 'bubble'
* When a 'bubble' bursts, the underlying prices of the assets/goods/services that caused that bubble collapse to pre-'bubble' levels
* Each bubble is different but there are a few patterns of investor-behaviour common to most bubbles and prompted by so-called 'Irrational exuberance'
2) Past success: what was successful once will be successful again
Why do bubbles burst?
Good question...
There are usually a few reasons.
Some call this 'The Greed/Fear Cycle'
FEAR starts with
* Panic selling: other investors find out and they too sell off, prompting panic stock sales
* Trust and confidence evaporate, investors seek 'safe havens', such as sovereign bonds
* More people start saving and cutting on their expenses because they expect things to get worse
GREED SETS IN
* With stock prices at rock bottom levels, some investors/speculators
buy shares, hoping to make a high profit when prices pick up