As climate changes, there will
be an increasing number of
novel ecosystems
Nota:
ecosystems wit no historical analogue
An ecosystem will be altered by
directional environmental drivers
or the addition or loss of an
important species (biotic changes)
New state: internal
restructuring due to new biotic
and abiotic interactions further
alters community compositions
Nota:
though changes in abundances
or species losses, through changes in biogeochemical
interactions (resulting in
novel ecosystem)
New silvicultural challenges are arising
with changing human desires, loss species
and climate change
Now we should
Manage forests to provide a variety of
desired ecossytem goods and services
at an acceptable cost
Ensure ability of managed forest to
adapt to diverse and unexpected future
conditions
Prescribe and
promote novel
ecosystems
Increase ecosystem resilience and
adaptability, and promote desirable
outcomes
Paradigm shift in forestry to complexity science
Viewing forest as complex adaptive systems can provide
silviculture a new conceptual framework
Managing for complexity involves thinking careful about types
of interactive processes that occur within forests and how they
enable forests to self-organize with minimal intervention after
disturbance
Increase resilience to stress
Much of the order/pattern we see in the world comes,
not from top down control, but from local-level
(bottom-up) interactions among system components
(self-organization).
Characteristics of a complex adaptive system (CAS) ecosystem
has many parts that interact
Interactions among the
parts cause the behaviour
of the whole to be more
than the sum of its parts
Web of interactions and interdependencies
Nota:
among components and with the environment, which channels energy and allowing ecosystems to self-organize, function and evolve.
Feedbacks
Nota:
Occur wen organisms receive feedback from their environment and modify their behaviour
accordingly, allowing control over the destiny of the ecosystem,
Positive feedback
Nota:
Mutualisms
Negative feedback
Nota:
competition, or density-dependant control; behaviour changes in response to resource limitations
Fast-forward mechanism
Nota:
Trees produce waxes to prevent water loss during drought; resins to pitch out bark beetles that bore into the bark
Sel-orginzed from the bottom up
Nota:
Complex estruture that emerges out of interactions and feedbacks among the parts
Synergy: Emergent properties
Nota:
The whole is greater than it's parts
Stability
Nota:
Means that changes are maintained within certain bounds, and key patterns and processses are protected and maintained
Productivity and stability
Nota:
of ecosystem comes from complex interactions among the many parts, and the positive and negative feedbacks between those parts
Diffuse boundaries
Nota:
No skin; local ecosystems are part of an interacting network of ecosystem that compose landscapes, region, the earth.
Non-euqilibirum
Nota:
Because the boundaries are diffuse; system is open to the outside
Hierarchical
Nota:
Each ecosystem comprises numerous smaller systems and at the same time is part of a hierarchy of larger ecosystems
Adaptive
Nota:
resulting from the adaptation and evolution of organisms that comprise the community
Indetermined
Nota:
because organisms evolve in an somewhat ordered yet random fashion
Non linear relationships/reposnses
Nota:
resource limit on photosynthesis
making relationships somewhat unpredictable with surprising consequences
Non-linear réponses
Nota:
can have threshold changes with non-catastrophic reponses, where the response can be reversible if the conditions change back to initial conditions;
Non-catastrophic
Nota:
where the response can be reversible if the conditions change back to initial conditions
Catastrophic reponses
Nota:
where there is a bifurcation (split) into a new state that is not reversible when conditions change back to initially conditions
System memory
Nota:
genes or structure (CWD remaining from previous disturbances
Sensitive to initial conditions
Nota:
i.e. following disturbance
Viewing and managing forest as complex adaptive systems
Uncertain future conditions
Nota:
Implies allowing forest development to follow a variety of possible paths
Ill-defined boundaries
Nota:
outside influences inherent chanracteritcis of forest ecosystem dynamics
Never at equilibrium
Nota:
Adopt view that ecosystem structures and process are continually changing and this change is important
Self-regulated
Nota:
Occurs through positive and negative feedback loops; requires new multi-scale approaches
Develop unexpected properties
Nota:
iportant factor in ecosystem resilience -creativity
Affected by initial conditions/previous states
Nota:
remember previous states (i.e. coppice systems, present day structural retention)