The greenhouse effect is caused
by incoming light that strikes the
earth’s surface causing infrared
waves like a giant radiation.
That heat travels unimpeded back out into the void and one
fraction of that heat goes back to space. The rest is in the
lower air layer which contains a number of gases that absorb
infrared variations:
Water Vapor
CO2
Methane
Others
Causes: More water evaporates from
oceans, lakes and soils. It creates a powerful
feedback loop
The hotter it gets, the higher the water vapor
content of the air, and the grater the greenhouse
effect warming.
Models and uncertainly
To project future climates scientists
use computer simultations of the
interactions among
Air
Water
Land
Ice
Sunlight.
These GCMs consist of equations
representing the known laws of
atmospheric physics
ocean circulation
A case of missing carbon
Human activity releases 7 billion metric tons of carbon
in CO2 into the atmosphere every year. 3 billion of out
emissions remains in the air.
The rest is taken by marine and terrestrial plants. Of
that “missing” amount of carbon the oceans remove 2
billion from the atmosphere each year.
Aerosols encourage water vapor to condence into
tiny droplets. Making the clouds dense and shiny,
shading the surface for weeks.
Our own pollution may temporarily have spared
us some effects of global warming
As the World Warms
The warming anticipated by the IPCC would put a lot more
water vapor into air causing more rainfall and more intense
weather.
The precipitation will be grater. In areas
already prone to flooding or erosion or both
that may be a prognosis.
This will affect countries such as Mexico
and Africa making them even more arid
than they are now.
What drives climate change?
Solar Input
Solar energy hits the upper atmosphere at
about the intensity of three 100-watt one-third
of which is reflected back into space. The rest of
the energy warms Earth and fuels its weather
engine
The Atmosphere
Solar energy hits the upper atmosphere at about the
intensity of three 100-watt one-third of which is
reflected back into space. The rest of the energy warms
Earth and fuels its weather engine
The Oceans
Oceans store heat and transport it thousands
of miles. When warm water collects in one
place, evaporation and cloud buildup increase.
The Water Cycle
Higher air temperatures can increased water
evaporation and the melting of sea and ice., evaporation
leads to cloud formation, which can have a cooling effect.
Clouds
they are known to both cool Earth by reflecting
solar energy and warm Earth by trapping heat being
radiated up from the surface.
Ice and Snow
Bright white expanses of ice and snow reflect
sunlight back into space, cooling the planet. In the
Northern Hemisphere snow cover has decreased
about 10% in the past 21 years, but no melting of
the Antarctic ice sheet has been detected.
Land Surface
When solar energy penetrates the land surface it is
converted into heat. Sloping land allows more water runoff,
leaving the land and air drier. A tropical forest will soak up
CO2, but once cleared for cattle ranching, the same land
becomes a source of methane.
Human Influences
Human activities magnify warming effects. Ranching, rice
farming, and landfills have raised methane levels. Aerosols,
such as smoke and sulfate from industry, reflect sunlight and
have temporary, localized cooling effects.