BRICS is the acronym for an
association of five major
emerging national economies
Short history
1980s – 1990s
‘original’ BRIC agreement from the late 1990s
2000s
O’Neill advocated for the
reform of the G7 to include
Brazil, Russia, India and
China.
2006 the foreign ministers of the initial four BRIC states (Brazil,
Russia, India, and China) met in New York City to begin a series
of high-level meetings.
The global recession of 2008/9
June 16, 2009 The summit focussed on improving the
global economic situation and reforming institutions in
ways that better incorporated the developing world
the BRIC nations announced the
need for a new global reserve
currency
2010s
The emergence
of the BRICS
2011 - the emergence BRICS Forum
2013 - he member countries agreed to create
a global financial institution that would rival
the western-dominated IMF and World Bank
2014 - The communiqué ‘noted with
concern, the recent media statement on
the forthcoming G20 Summit to be held
in Brisbane in November 2014
July 2014 - RICS signed the long-anticipated
document to create the US$100 billion BRICS
Development Bank and a reserve currency
pool worth over another US$100 billion.
Economic Dynamics
Size of economies
In 2014 (just over 10 years) their collective share of the
global economy has more than doubled
2012: BRICS have 40 percent of the world's population, 25 percent of the
world's landmass, and control some 43% percent of global foreign exchange
reserves
China`s GDP is 58% of the BRICS total
Growth trajectories
Cameron: “China’s share of BRIC output is now around 61 per cent – up
from 42 per cent in 1990”
Cameron: “The story, has been of the rise of the two Asian giants and especially of China”
De Castro: “the BRICS have already changed the world economy through
‘the reallocation of global economic activities, especially global
consumption to emerging and developing countries, and hence
import/export destination shifts”
Structure of economies
Brazil
the sixth-biggest economy in the world
Brazil is the steadiest of the BRICs.
Brazil is a full-blooded democracy
Brazil has no serious disputes
with its neighbours
Russia
It is a country, after all, of nearly
100% literacy, with a scientific
community rich in mathematicians,
physicists and engineers who in the
past were able to develop nuclear
weapons
With the economy plagued by poor growth
and investment, the outlook of Russia has
turned gloomy
India
huge
potential
in the
economy
Goldman Sachs: “India could be a
bigger growth story than China
over the long Run”
India lags the other BRICS in levels of openness,
basic education and infrastructure
China
Chinese economists now expect China's
annual growth to slow down from rates of
10 to 12 percent to 6 to 8 percent by the
end of this decade
China is by far the dominant BRIC in terms of the economy
South Africa
the smallest of
the five BRICS
South Africa rated by Bloomberg
as the third most miserable
economy in the world for 2015
Rivals
CIVETs
EAGLES
MINT
CEMENT
BBVA
PINEs
External versus
internal markets
The rise of the BRICS has been
largely underpinned by the supply of
external markets
the challenge is to build new internal
markets to keep demand high (because
of approach saturation)
According to the report, first China, and
then a decade later, India, will begin to
dominate the world economy
Investment
BRICS have enjoyed rising rates
of foreign direct investment
EU as the biggest FDI investor in BRICS
some differences in the investment patterns by country
In Brazil, Russia and India, the tertiary
sector receives the most inward FDI on
average over the past decade, while the
primary sector receives the least and the
secondary sector is in the middle
In China the secondary sector
dominates the majority of the inward
FDI and the primary and tertiary
sectors receive only a bit
investors are significantly influenced by market size
BRICS are also emerging as investors in other developing countries
Trade and Regions
the rise of the BRICS has not
fundamentally changed the nature
of what is traded in global markets,
so much as how much is traded
Kappel defines an economic regional power as “an
economy with a relatively large population and land
area which plays a dominant role in trade within the
region and in the regional governance”
“the relative globalization of the BRICs is related to
more global sourcing by the BRICs, enhanced regional
competitiveness of the BRICs, and more asymmetry and
trade dependence from the perspective of the regional
trade partners”
comparing Asia and Latin America regionalism, holds that not all regional
economic relations are the same, and some, as in the case of Asia, appear to be
mutually beneficial, whereas those in Latin America are less so
Political Dynamics
BRICS politics is influenced by ‘the struggle for
recognition of developing countries as full and
equal partners in the society of states’ as well as
‘states with specific development needs that are
too easily ploughed-under in the spurious
universality promoted by the developed North’
institutional reform (New global financial institutions)
the BRICS Contingent
Reserve Arrangement
(CRA)
the new
development bank
Approach to development (what extent they share a
common approach to development, and whether this
differs from that adopted by the current mainstream
development agencies.)
BRICS concentrate on infrastructure
and productive sectors, such as
energy, as targets for investment
not so big attention on good
governance, rule of law, a strong civil
society, education, health and the like
goals:
a continued focus on
domestic growth and
stability in the BRICS
a deeper engagement of the
BRICS in multilateral forums and
regional trade forums such as the
World Trade Organization
the pressure to align the policies of the new
bank with sustainable development and other
global public goods debates
the promotion of
transparent and
democratic bank
governance.
International relations and multilateralism
what are the incentives for
multilateralism of the BRICS,
especially for China?
what extent are the BRICS a collective of
regional hegemons?
what are the possibilities and limitations of
BRICS acting as a bloc in international
relations outside of economic and
development issues?