Criado por Emily Bevis
quase 7 anos atrás
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Questão | Responda |
2017 GE turnout | 2017 = 68.7% An increase from 66.4% in 2015 |
Result of the 2017 General Election | - Theresa May + Conservatives - Hung parliament = partnership with DUP - "minority government" - 82% of vote for either Lab/Con - Con support +5.5% from 2015 - Labour +9.6% - highest level of two-party support since 1970. |
Why was the youth vote important in 2017? | - Youth turnout = 57% (increased from 43% in 2015) - Large surge to get youth out voting - 'Corbyn factor' = encouraged an increase in youth vote - 18-19 y/o = 66% (LAB) vs 19% (CON) - Constituencies with highest 18-24 y/o turnout saw an increase of 14% in Lab votes - Younger generation felt cheated by the result of Brexit referendum - Labour increase use of social media with :) adverts of a social movement - Manifesto promises to abolish tuition fees, introduce voting for 16/17 y/o, free school lunches, extend counselling to improve mental health discussions. - Corbyn's involvement in protests |
How did the older generations vote? | - 69% of 70+ voters = Tory - Among voters 50+ Tory always got majority - Traditionally higher turnout = greater impact - 70+ turnout = 84% - Crossover age for Lab/Cons = 47 y/o |
TV debates | - Theresa May refuse head-to-head debate so instead sent Amber Rudd - Popularity lead over Corbyn decrease from 28% --> 11% - Greater focus on "direct communication with voters" - avoided spontaneous qu. opportunities = weak and spineless - QUESTION TIME - up to 4 million viewers in which 56% said effected their vote - 80% said they discussed QT with friends/family - 40% said QT increased their interest - shared on social media among young voters - 1/3rd of voters said QT was their biggest impact in voting behaviour - due to marginal victory = big impact? |
Impact of CLASS | - class division closing - Labour only behind Tories by 4% in ABC1 voters - Lab = best in DE voters = 44% - Tory = best in C2 voters = 47% - BUT turnout in DE = as low as 55% - AB turnout = 79% - May made significant effort to appeal to working class voters - clear link between EDUCATION as traditionally in higher classes = higher participation |
Impact of EDUCATION | - Become a more decisive factor - UKIP's biggest majority = amongst those of lowest education level - 55% (majority) of voters with GCSE grades or lower = CON - 49% (majority) of voters with high/degree level = LAB - only 32% CON |
ISSUE VOTING | - 65% of electorate = Brexit as most important issue - 37% felt Tories would be best party during negotiations - May "Brexit means Brexit" - Identification as leaver/remainer more influential than partisanship? - Tax and economy = always imp. - Terrorism as a result of two attacks throughout the election campaign - Tory traditionally viewed as better equipped for terror threats - Labour polices appeal to younger voters - Uni fees, nationalise rail etc - Theresa May U-turn on Dementia Tax = unreliable and upset to core elderly voters |
Impact of REGION | - Cons = 45.6% of votes across Eng. - Cons benefit from fall of UKIP - SNP only won 35 seats in Scotland (contrast to the 56 in 2015) - Result of Sturgeon calling for another Brexit referendum - Growth in CON in Scotland = surprising |
Impact of NEWSPAPERS | - pro-Conservative papers = Daily Mail, Telegraph - pro-Labour papers = Guardian, Independent, Daily Mirror - 73% of people who said they read the Guardian the most = voted LAB - 79% of people who said they read the Telegraph the most = voted CONS |
Position of UKIP | - Only won 1.8% of vote (a decrease on the 12.4% in 2015) - Conservatives benefit from previous UKIP voters as result of May's :) response to May and June terror attacks - UKIP role as "guard dog of Brexit" no longer needed after referendum - funding cut, no clear leader, only half of possible seats contested for. - Suffered significantly in 2018 local elections = lost 120+ councillors - Basildon council = conservative as result of the fall of UKIP |
Impact of leadership | - Corbyn disliked by trad. Lab voters - Past relationship with IRA = untrusted - Suffered leadership challenge - BUT effective campaigner, and good speaker independently and in debates - Popular in younger gen. - May attacked by media - 'Maybot' - stiff and no emotion while interviewed - BUT labelled most 'left-wing' Con leader in 40 years - 2016 poll suggested May more popular with Labour voters than Corbyn. |
Impact of GENDER | - Theresa May = female representation - BUT only small gender gap - equal female split - 43% for LAB/CONS - Male vote = 45% (Tory) vs 39% (Lab) |
Impact of ETHNICITY | - 73% of BME voted for Labour (an increase from 65% in 2015) |
How diverse was the 2017 Parliament? | - 52 BME MPs = up from 41 - 208 female MPs = less than 1/3 - BUT increased to 32% from 9% in 2015 - 51% MPs from comprehensive schools - 45 MPs who identify as LGBTQ - BUT average age = 50 y/o = same as 2015 - 4 MPs = under age of 30 y/o |
How did voting behaviour impact Parliamentary make-up? | - 20% of Labour MPs = under 40 - Labour party had a larger majority in under 40 y/o voters - 32 Labour BME MPs v 19 Cons - 73% BME voted Labour |
2018 local elections | - UKIP fall significantly = lost over 120 councillors - Allowed for greater success of Tories = win Basildon council - National party result drew = around 35% of national vote each - Estimated turnout of around 36% |
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