How significant was the Tet
offensive 1968 as a reason
for US withdrawal from
Vietnam - Jan 2012
Tet Offensive
30 Jan 1968
Vietcong launched a surprise
attack from Ho Chi Minh trail
Were able to take over many
cities in South Vietnam
Came close to capturing US embassy
Attack presidential palace of Thieu
Very significant - led to America realising
that they could not win the war
Attack exposed many US
weaknesses: had failed to
predict the Offensive
NVA were able to
penetrate territory in the
South as far as Saigon
CREATED INCREASE IN ANTI
WAR MOVEMENTS
Following the offensie, Walter
Cronkite (respected TV journalist)
spoke for US Peoplewhen he said
"what the hell is going on? I
thought we were winning the war."
Consequently;
Johnson's
approval ratings
fell from 48%-36%
Opinion poll showed that
2/3 believed no progress
had been made since 1965
Significantly
contributed to
Nixon's decision to
withdraw troops -
Vietnamisation
became clear the NVA were not going to
back down and that winning the war
was unlikely so providing US assistance
was no longer vital to US interests
However less significant as did not
cause the immediate withdrawal of
troops - the first US troops did not leave
Vietnam until september 1969
Despite Johnson's claims that they were
This in itself caused
the need for
withdrawal of
troops as made USA
realise that it was
unlikely they would
win the war and
therefore US troops
was unnecesary
Financial cost
Spent $120 billion on the war
This led directly to, in early 1970's,
Congress began to refuse to
continue to fund the war effort
As Nixon had begun
withdrawing troops, he could not
use the well being of American
soldiers as a reason for Congress
to continue their support
Congress therefore began to
pass measures that restricted
Nixon's ability to make
decisions in Vietnam; which
inevitably directly linked to
the mass withdrawal of US
troops as Nixon was now
powerless in taking any other
measure in Vietnam
Congress repealed Tonkin Gulf
Resolution January 1971
Amendments attached
to spending bills
forbidding further
intervention by ground
forces in Laos/Cambodia
1973 War Powers Act -
reduced Nixon's power
in further conflicts
April - July 1971
congress voted 17
times to on
measures to restrict
Nixon's actions
Had negative impacts: Johnson's
"great society" only received
$15.5bn; US budget deficit
increased $1.6bn - $25.3bn
Nixon's policies
Most significant factor as
actually meant troops
were withdrawn
Aim to achieve "peace with honor"
Nixon was a realist in
politics (as was Kissinger)
Speech Feb 1970 "out interests
must shape our commitments
rather than the other way round"
This belief led
to his policy of
Vietnamisation
Set out in the Guam
doctrine which
justified his policy of
Vietnamisation - put
the burden of
fighting on ARVN
troops and US troops
would be withdrawn
Directly led to the
withdrawal of US troops:
April 69 - 543,000; December
1969 - 475,200; Dec 1970 -
334,000; Dec 1972 - 24,000
However can be
argued that
these were his
policies only due
to previous
circumstances
eg Tet caused
lack of public
support which he
needed to win
1972 election -
therefore these
causes could be
seen as the
underlying cause
for withdrawal of
troops
Became president
Nov 68
Failure of
Vietnamisation
Part of Vietnamisation
was to strengthen
ARVN troops
Although it grew from 850,000 - 1
million, the strengthening of the
ARVN could be seen as a failure
100,000 ARVN troops deserted per year
Feb 1971 - ARVN troops
attacked Laos. 2,500 died
and were forced to retreat
due to lack of US support
ARVN remained weak in comparison to communists
by 1972; showed US that it was futile and may aswell
pull out American troops when they could
Communists in south found it easy to replenish their armies (unlike ARVN)
- by 1972 50,000 NVA troops; 225,000 VC troops; 150,000 local militias
Quick rearming considering blow
caused by failure of the Tet
Nixon opposed George
McGovern's policy to
condemn draft dodgers
34,000
draft
dogers
Growth of anti war movement - public opinion
Directly linked to Tet
offensive as following the Tet
offensive protests grew
Can be argued that anti war
movements as a result of the Tet
offensive was the most significant
factor in withdrawal of US troops
These protests convinced Nixon to
establish policy of Vietnamisation
Nixon wanted to maximise his chances
in 1972 election and therefore shaped
his policies around the desires of the
public
October 1969 - 2 million
people across 200 cities
took part in mass protest
Prior to the Tet
Martin Luther King
speaks out against the war 1967
Significant because MLK was a very
influential figure as leader of the Civil
Rights movement. He protested against
the greater percentage of black troops in
combat roles - 28%, with only 13% overall
strongly significant in increasing number of people who
were against the war who would've put pressure on
Johnson/Nixon to withdraw from the confict
public demonstrations
Norman
Morrison,
quaker, self
immolation
20,000
in a
teach in
in
Berkeley
200,000
demonstrated
in NY
However the growth of anti war
movement was not that important
It wasn't that significant as
68% supported Nixon's
policies, so only a minority
were anti war and would
have impacted Nixon's
decisions to withdraw troops
"silent majority"
Also - there was some significant public
support for keeping troops in USA show in polls
1968
42% were in favour of
mining Haiphong
49% wanted an
invasion of NV
These stats show that public
opinion was not highly
significant as many still wanted
to keep US troops in Vietnam
and carry on the war