Since the 1970s, discourse of risk has extended to global
concerns for security and safety. Perception more
threatening, out of control. images of risk everywhere
eg terrorism, identity theft, pollution
'Pessimistic awareness of the dangers
inherent in our social world' (Drake and
Muncie, 2010)
Beck (2002) characterised by local and global ambiguity,
insecurity and fearfulness, leading to a 'riskmanagement'
approach to crime and justice
communities and identities more
fragmented, collapse in traditional
orderings
experts and politians cannot be trusted,
nobody knows - insecurities
Contradiction of risk society
also defined by efforts to manage risk
(O'Malley, 1998)
renewed search for order and stability
'Joined-up' modernisation of various state agencies
Families, communities and
businesses have role; states
has begun to govern 'at a
distance' - Rose, 2000
shift from prevention of crime to
management of risk - crime is
normal (Hughes, 1998)
risk factors
scientific, measurement to predict the future in
terms of known probabilities
Evidence based policy
Actuarialism
The classification of populations according to
their assumed level of risk of future
offending/reoffending.
Early Intervention
A core policy implication of the belief that
crime can be anticipated in advance.
eg certain children should be targeted for crime
prevention initiatives before an offence has taken
place.
Miniumal intervention and maximum diversion rather than early intervention
Feeley and Simon (1992)
'new penology'
purpose of disciplinary forms of
intervention now containment.
O'Malley (1992) notes managing risk is
held by individuals who are able to
insure/ invest in security measures
setting of targets, structures in place to measure success to know 'what works'
'what works'
legitimises interventions designed to reduce
offending,; led by evidence not ideology
plan for crime reduction
less about 'curing' an offender, more of identifying
factors leading to criminal behaviour
can identify likely offenders; particular people places subjected to
increased surveillance, potential victims know where to avoid
studies reveal correlations, patterns and links, but not causes
Cambridge Study
family factors
indivdual factors
Environmental factors
Farrington (2007) 30+
studies over last 60 years
Webster et al (2006) 50% high risk using
cambridge methodolgy, standardised risk
negate complex dynamics
cycle of risk is perpetual
Erikson and Haggerty ( 1997) cultivates
insecuriities
Expert knowledge /always risk aware
Accept and embrace uncertainties, debate,
scruitinise how/where/who (Beck 1992)
Opens up new opportunities, and
re-thinking of traditional political
agendas (Giddens, 1994)
Power
Who has power to deine what 'risk' is
and who the 'risky people are'
visible street crime targeted to exclusion of other types of
ctime such as corporate crime
Harm/violence
intervention on basis of risk can be seen to include and protect
the 'deserving' while excluding and marginalising 'problem
populations
Farrington (2006) study of young peoples 'risk of offending' characteristics used to
idenify (and target) young people on basis what thet might do in the future. Furter
studies suggest risk based assessments not always reliable and targeting by police is the
greatest risk factor
Risk factor prevention paradigms'
doesn't say about harmful
behaviours not recorded
Can't be applied to understanding of crimes
powerful and state crime
Focus on particular threats to safety
and security
Focuses on what factors are
linked, but not how/why linked
typically re-inforces rather than
transforms inequality
Local /Global
risk can have many meanings, vary
across time, place and people
actuarialism connects with global processes,
neo-liberal, market driven policies, legitimises
reponse to trouble populations
Longitudinal studies gloablly have confirmed cluster of
individual , familiy and community circumstances are
associated with esimates of criminal behaviour
Farrington (2000) 'globalisation of knowledge'
Crime Science
A school of criminology emerging in 2001
concerned with the application of scientific
principles to aid in the detection and
prevention of crime and disorder.
eg forensic science, crime mapping, and psychology and computer science
Modernity
Industrialisation to the 1970s which it was
thought that social problems could be
addressed through positivist science and
rationality.
Linked to criminal justice system
Policing, crime, crime policy, prisons,
victimisations, personal safety
used in social, financial and political
contexts to refer to the calculability
or prediction of a potential harm or
hazard
Brown and Pratt (2000) - risk has
become a central concept for the
discipline of criminology
number of perspectives - legal, political,
psyschological, sociological, geographical
Hybrid Strategies
Putitive sovereignty - only 'deserving' are free from interventions
Eg Zero-Tolerance policing, asbo, increased rates of imprisonment